The Primary Battle: Who Can Take Iowa and New Hampshire?
All states are not created equal when it comes to a presidential race, and for this reason you may hear about two more than any other when it comes to the primaries. These two states are New Hampshire and Iowa. Iowa, for its unique caucus voting method, which basically separates the states into “neighborhoods,” and the winner of all the different sections is predicted to be the winner of the entire election. Iowa is also the first state to hold an election, although it is not official in the primary race. In New Hampshire, the first official vote for the nationwide election takes place, and really sets the tone for the rest of the race. The media flocks to this state, and quickly views the result as a crystal ball that will unveil who the winner will be. As it seems like all the Republican runners have officially announced (now that Governor Walker made his speech this morning), it comes down to pure speculation, where the person who calls the election before it happens gets the ultimate career prize. So, let’s look at these two states, and whether or not they really will be able to serve as a crystal ball for who will receive the primary win.
First of all, the number one issue for the upcoming race is the economy. This issue surpassed foreign policy, and many Americans believe that their quality of life could drastically increase. It is no surprise, then, that voters will be looking for a candidate that they believe will be able to turn the unemployment rate and the amount of jobs available around, and they will be looking for a politician that can prove he is the best to get the job done. For this reason, Governors who can show data that while serving in their state they cut taxes, decreased spending, and improved the economy, have an immediate advantage. Even Donald Trump, who has never served in office but is no doubt an exceptional businessman, can play this card to influence voters.
When looking at these two states, their voter base is drastically different. New Hampshire is more moderate, while Iowa is more conservative and farther to the right. In a primary, only Republicans will be able to vote, and the two states will show the overall attitude of two different factions within the party. Currently, Governor Jeb Bush takes the cake in New Hampshire, while Governor Scott Walker looks like the favorite in Iowa. These two candidates, who are extremely different, both have strong financial records from their time in office, and are focusing their campaign on refueling the job market and restoring the American dream. As of right now, it seems like the two will emerge on top for completely different reasons and in completely different areas. While many do not want another Bush in the White House, others are not sure if they can get on board with Walker’s conservative views towards abortion and gay marriage. Walker is going to have to move a little to the center of the spectrum, while Bush might have to move farther to the right. While they may take these two important primary states, the ultimate goal is to beat the Democrat Party, so it is going to be especially difficult to toe the line.